Imarike yentsimbi yase-Indonesia okwangoku ibona ukunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso. Ngenxa yokunqongophala kwezinto eziluhlaza kunye nokuphazamiseka kwezopolitiko, amaxabiso e-HRC afikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngo-Epreli 13, 2026. Kodwa nangona kukho izibonelelo ezinamandla zefektri, abathengi bayayirhoxisa, nto leyo ekhokelela ekuweni kwamaxabiso kwimarike.
Amaxabiso e-HRC: I-Rally iyaqhubeka
Isantya kwimarike ye-HRC yase-Indonesia sisaqhubeka sikhula ngokungathandabuzekiyo. Iifektri ezinkulu ze-blast furnace ziphakamise ngamandla iikowuteshini zazo zokuthunyelwa kwixesha elizayo.
I-SAE 1006/SS400 (3mm):Izibonelelo zangoku zokuthunyelwa kwempahla ngoJulayi zijikeleze i-$605/t CFR Jakarta/Surabaya.
I-SPHC (2mm):Iifektri zasekuhlaleni zijolise kwi-$640 ukuya kwi-$670/t CFR yokuhanjiswa kwempahla ngoJuni nangoJulayi.
Ukubeka oku ngendlela eyiyo, la manqanaba amele ukunyuka okukhulu ukusuka ekupheleni kukaMatshi, xa iintengiselwano zazisagqitywa e-$580/t CFRKwinyanga nje edlulileyo, phakathi kuMatshi, imakethi yayirhweba kufutshane$560/t CFROlu xabiso lukhawulezileyo lubonisa imeko yemarike "eshushu", nangona amaxabiso aphezulu ekhokelele ekunciphiseni okubonakalayo komthamo wentengiselwano.
Unobangela: Ukunqongophala kweSlab kwiHlabathi liphela
Ukuphazamiseka kweenkqubo zokubonelela ngempahla kuyayigubungela imfuno yasekuhlaleni njengeyona nto iphambili ebangela amaxabiso aphezulu. I-Indonesia ijongene nobunzima obukhulu emva kokulahlekelwa zizinto ezivela e-Iran. Ngenxa yeengozi zezopolitiko, ezi zivumelwano zibalulekileyo zokubonelela ngempahla ziye zarhoxiswa okanye zamiswa, nto leyo enyanzelisa abavelisi ukuba bafune ezinye iindlela.
Izalathisi zeMarike yeSlab eziphambili:
Ubonelelo lweNdawo/lweSithili olungaguqukiyo:Njengoko i-Indonesia neVietnam zibiza i-$540/t ye-FOB, amaxabiso e-slab yengingqi ahlala ephezulu, nto leyo ebatyhafisayo abathengi basekuhlaleni.
Utshintsho lweSibonelelo seNgcali:Ukunqongophala kunyanzele ukuba kubekho utshintsho olukhulu kwizixhobo zaseTshayina ukuze kugcinwe imigca yemveliso isebenza.
Umthamo Onzima Wokubhukisha:Umsebenzi wemarike ukhule kakhulu kwicandelo laseTshayina, ngetoni ezingaphezu kwe-100,000 zeeslab ze-SPHC ezifunyenwe kuluhlu lwe-FOB oluxabisa i-$471–$475/t—ukunyuka okukhulu ukusuka ekuqaleni kukaMatshi.
Njengoko iindleko zokuthutha impahla ukusuka eTshayina ukuya eIndonesia zimi kwi$28–$30/ngentsimbi, ixabiso lokufika kweeslabhu zaseTshayina ngoku liphezulu kakhulu kunamanqanaba abonwe ekuqaleni kukaMatshi ($465/t CFR).
| Imveliso kunye neBanga | Izibuko | Ngomhla we-13 ku-Epreli | Utshintsho lwemihla ngemihla | Utshintsho lweveki nganye |
| I-HRC(SS400) | I-Tianjin | 483 | 0 | 0 |
| I-CRC(i-SPCC) | I-Tianjin | 545 | 0 | -2 |
| I-HDG(DX51D) | I-Tianjin | 591 | 0 | 0 |
| Ipleyiti(SS400B) | I-Tianjin | 495 | 0 | 0 |
| I-Rebar(B500B) | Zhangjiagang | 481 | -1 | -1 |
| Intonga yocingo(SAE1008) | Zhangjiagang | 511 | 0 | 0 |
| I-H-Beam (A36) | I-Tianjin | 543 | 0 | +2 |
Iindlela Zokuthumela Ngaphandle kunye Nembonakalo Yengingqi
Ngelixa amaxabiso asekhaya enyuka, ukusebenza kwe-Indonesia yokuthumela ngaphandle kuye kwabonakala ukwehla okwethutyana. Idatha yorhwebo lukaFebruwari ibonisa ukwehla okukhulu kwe-60.2% inyanga nenyanga kwi-HRC exports (iitoni ezili-131,000). Nangona umthamo usaqhubeka uphezulu nge-10.2% kunonyaka ophelileyo, ukwehla okukhawulezileyo kwenyanga kubonisa iphulo lokupholisa ukuthumela ngaphandle. Iifektri zasekuhlaleni kusenokwenzeka ukuba ziguqukela kwimarike yasekhaya ngelixa zihamba nobunzima obukhulayo berhafu yemida yekhabhoni ye-EU.
Umxholo oBanzi woMzantsi-mpuma weAsia
Iindlela zemarike zaseIndonesia ziyinxalenye yokwanda okukhulu kwemizi-mveliso kulo lonke ummandla we-ASEAN:
Filipayinzi:I-SteelAsia isondela ekugqityweni komatshini wayo weBatangas section, oza kuphawula imveliso yokuqala yasekhaya yentsimbi yokwakha kweli lizwe.
Viyethnam:Uloliwe ohamba ngesantya esiphezulu eHanoi–Quang Ninh waqalwa ngokusesikweni ngomhla we-12 ku-Epreli, nto leyo ebonisa imfuneko yexesha elide yeziseko zophuhliso kulo mmandla.
IYurophu:Isityalo saseMardyck sika-ArcelorMittal eFransi sisandula ukuqengqa ikhoyili yaso yokuqala yentsimbi yombane, intshukumo enokuchaphazela ukuhamba kwentsimbi ephezulu kwihlabathi liphela.
Isishwankathelo sabathathi-nxaxheba kwiMarike
Icandelo lentsimbi lase-Indonesia okwangoku lichazwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso okunyuswa kweendleko. Nangona "ixabiso lesitikha" le-HRC liphezulu, ukuguquguquka kwemarike kuvavanywa kukungabikho kweeslabs ezifikelelekayo. Kubathengisi kunye nabaphathi bokuthenga, kwiiveki ezizayo kuya kuba sisenzo sokulinganisela phakathi kokufumana ukutya kwaseTshayina okubiza kakhulu kunye nokulinda ukuzinza okunokwenzeka kwimpahla yothutho lwehlabathi.
Ingcaciso yeMarike:Lindela ukuba amaxabiso e-HRC ahlale exhaswa kwezi nqanaba ziphezulu logama nje ukusilela kweslab kuqhubeka. Nangona kunjalo, jonga indlela enokubakho "yokulinda ubone" evela kubasebenzisi bokugqibela abanokumelana namaxabiso angaphezulu kwe-$650/t.
| Imveliso kunye neBanga | Ummandla | Ngomhla we-13 ku-Epreli | Utshintsho lwemihla ngemihla | Utshintsho lweveki nganye |
| Izinto ezilahliweyo(HMS1 kunye no-2 80:20) | Ukungenisa eTurkey | 403 | 0 | +5 |
| I-Billet(3SP) | Ukungenisa eTshayina | 458 | 0 | +5 |
| I-HRC(SS400) | Ukungenisa e-SE Asia | 496 | 0 | 0 |
| I-HRC(S235JR) | Imisebenzi yangaphambili ye-EU | 839 | +2 | 0 |
| I-Rebar(B500B) | Ukungenisa eHong Kong | 510 | 0
| +5 |
| I-Rebar(B500B) | Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eTurkey | 598 | 0 | 0 |
| I-CRC(i-SPCC) | Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kweCIS | 585 | 0 | 0 |
Ixesha leposi: Epreli-15-2026
